Explore PREBET and ACTIVE markets, then trade your view on what happens next.
Will the ISW map show Russia in control of the building at 48.40731° N, 37.17956° E in Bilytske, Donetsk Oblast, by September 30, 2026, ET?
Will the entirety of Chasiv Yar be assessed as under Russian control on the ISW map by September 30, 2026 (ET)?
Will Russia capture any territory of Stavky, Donetsk Oblast (49.048958° N, 37.829063° E) by September 30, 2026, as assessed by the ISW map?
Will the Iranian government officially announce and begin collecting mandatory fees from commercial vessels for passage through or access to the Strait of Hormuz by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting?
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?
Will an individual de facto hold and exercise the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET, as determined by a consensus of credible reporting on who exercises effective governing authority?
Will an individual be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection, with their term commencing after December 31, 2026, and prior to June 30, 2027?
Will Pete Hegseth cease to be U.S. Secretary of Defense at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026 (ET)?
Will a ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine go into effect by 11:59 PM EET on December 31, 2026, and remain continuously in effect for at least 10 calendar days?
Will Benjamin Netanyahu cease to be Prime Minister of Israel at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026 (ET)?
