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Will there be a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?
Will Alexandre de Moraes cease to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?
Will the individual officially holding the position of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026, at 12 PM ET be Nicolás Maduro?
Will Tyler Robinson be convicted of any criminal homicide offense in STATE OF UTAH v. TYLER JAMES ROBINSON (OTN: 70090584) by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET?
Will the governing coalition consisting of CDU/CSU and SPD break by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM CET?
Will Friedrich Merz cease to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?
Will there be a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media?
Will there be a mutually-agreed suspension of direct military engagement between Russia and Ukraine, officially announced by both countries or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?
Will Israel initiate drone, missile, or air strikes impacting the soil of 4 or more different countries between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, according to a consensus of credible reporting?
Will Pedro Sánchez cease to be Prime Minister of Spain at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026 (ET)?
