Will there be a military encounter between the military forces of a NATO country and Russia between January 2, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as defined by direct use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement, excluding non-violent actions, interceptions of attacks on third parties, or intentional physical collisions without direct use of weaponry, and with military contractors qualifying only if operating under direct state command, with resolution based on a consensus of credible reporting?
External market sourceCloses Dec 30, 2026, 7:00 PM ET
