Russia captures Novyi Donbas territory by June 2026?

Name: Will the ISW map show Russia capturing any territory of Novyi Donbas, Donetsk Oblast (48.450718° N, 37.181238° E) by the end of June 2026, with any qualifying shading persisting through the next full ISW daily update cycle, or will Russia gain control via a negotiated settlement by that date?
Start: 2026-05-01T22:49:28.900Z
End: 2026-06-30T00:00:00.000Z

Will the ISW map show Russia capturing any territory of Novyi Donbas, Donetsk Oblast (48.450718° N, 37.181238° E) by the end of June 2026, with any qualifying shading persisting through the next full ISW daily update cycle, or will Russia gain control via a negotiated settlement by that date?

External market source

ACTIVE

YES0%

NO100%

Closes Jun 29, 2026, 8:00 PM ET