VEI 4+ Eruptions 2026

Name: Will there be at least one natural volcanic eruption with a Volcanic Explosivity Index (VEI) of 4 or higher worldwide between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?
Start: 2026-04-08T11:45:38.786Z
End: 2027-01-01T04:59:00.000Z

Will there be at least one natural volcanic eruption with a Volcanic Explosivity Index (VEI) of 4 or higher worldwide between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?

External market source

ACTIVE

YES25%

NO75%

Closes Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET