Russia control Toretske intersection Sep 30, 2026

Name: Will the ISW map show Russia controlling the intersection at 48.494901° N, 37.365342° E in Toretske, Donetsk Oblast, by September 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET, with any qualifying shading persisting through the next full ISW daily update cycle, or will Russia gain control via a negotiated settlement by that date?
Start: 2026-06-25T12:12:20.955Z
End: 2026-09-30T00:00:00.000Z

Will the ISW map show Russia controlling the intersection at 48.494901° N, 37.365342° E in Toretske, Donetsk Oblast, by September 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET, with any qualifying shading persisting through the next full ISW daily update cycle, or will Russia gain control via a negotiated settlement by that date?

External market source

ACTIVE

YES37%

NO63%

Closes Sep 29, 2026, 8:00 PM ET